The US COVID Mitigation Measures Resulted in 23X Higher COVID Deaths
By STEVE KIRSCH
I live In an Amish town in Pennsylvania.
No vaccines. No masks. No deaths from covid. pic.twitter.com/RJdhpA4Clf
— JBell (@reecebell2008) May 22, 2023
On May 22, 2023, I offered a $2,500 reward for anyone to give me the names of more than 5 Amish people in Lancaster, PA (which is the world’s largest single community of Amish people with over 45,000 people) who died from COVID.
Nobody could do that. I got a few names. And nobody could name anyone under 50 years old who was suspected of dying from COVID. The best anyone could do was come up with 5 names, 52 years of age and older, mostly very old people.
In other words, the Amish didn’t do anything to protect against getting COVID: no lockdowns, no vaccinations, no masks, no social distancing, no mandates, no school closures, nothing. If they got sick, they used ivermectin and other methods that were not recommended by the CDC or FDA.
90% of the Amish have been infected by COVID, yet only 5 of the Amish might have died from COVID.
This means their overall COVID infection fatality rate (IFR) for all ages is .011% and for under 50, their IFR is 0%. For >60, their IFR=.044% which is 23X lower than the surrounding community.
The US <60 IFR is .09% and <70 IFR is .18% from the Ioannidis paper.
My offer got nearly 500,000 views but no winners
Let’s assume the Amish population in Lancaster, PA has 22% who are 60 or older (I used this source; there could be a better source).
Of 45,000 Amish people, that means around 10,000 over 60 and 35,000 under 60.
Over 90% of the Amish got infected.
So we have:
- The IFR for those <60 was 1 in 31,500 infected=.003%.
- The IFR for those <70, was 3 in 34,355=.009%.
- The IFR for those >60 was 4 in 9,000=.044%.
Now compare with the stats in the rest of Lancaster, PA. We’ll even give them the benefit of the doubt by restricting the time range to March 17, 2021. And to give them further benefit of the doubt, we’ll assume 100% of 545,000 residents were infected.
The article says this:
COVID-19 has been devastating to Pennsylvania seniors, with nine out of every 10 fatalities among those 60 and older. In Lancaster County, 96% of COVID-19 fatalities as of March 17 — 926 of 968 — have been people aged 60 or older.
So the IFR for under 60 would be 968-926= 42 deaths.
Let’s assume 90% in Lancaster County were infected and 80% are under 60. This will give this group the lowest IFR possible for us to compare with the Amish. So we’ll give them the benefit of the doubt. So 500,000 non-Amish, 400,000 under 60, 90% infected is 360,000 and 42 deaths in the 360,000 under 60= .011%. So the death rate was around 4X higher but the numbers are too small for the Amish to really get an accurate handle on this.
For the over 60, we can calculate a more accurate IFR ratio.
926 of 100,000 non-Amish of which 90% infected gives an IFR for >60 of 926/90,000=1% which is not unexpected given that the Ioannidis paper showed 0.506% at 60–69 years. So by adding people over 69, we’d expect a higher IFR which is what we got here.
But the big problem of course is that for the over age 60 IFR:
The Amish over 60 years old had an IFR which was 23X lower than others in the same county.
In short, the Amish died at a 23X lower rate, despite the fact that they didn’t vaccinate, mask, social distance, lock down and they eschewed western medical care to treat COVID.
What makes the Amish so awesome is that nobody can dispute it because nobody can find the names of >5 Amish people in Lancaster, PA who died from COVID
But with the Amish there is no place to hide. It’s all in full public view for everyone to see.
The community of unvaccinated Amish is large enough to have good numbers and yet small enough that there is no place to hide the deaths. They are the “Goldilocks” for COVID mitigation: not too small, not too big, but just the right size. You can easily verify the deaths. And since virtually everyone was infected early in the pandemic where people died with a telltale “progressively harder to breathe” respiratory condition, COVID deaths were recognizable by everyone.
So there is no way to attack this.
Nor can anyone claim that the Amish have a protective gene that protects them from COVID. 90% were infected. The DoD has been studying the Amish for more than 50 years now. If there was a protective gene, they would have found it by now.
The lack of record-level data transparency from the health authorities worldwide should tell you everything you need to know
The Amish did nothing more than provide us with statistics that are publicly verifiable.
On the other hand, the US health authorities in every state and country deliberately kept the vaccine-death records from public view, providing only summary data.
You can’t get linked death-vaccine record-level data from any state or federal government anywhere in the world: they all refuse to produce them. No exceptions.
I talked to one of my State Senators about sponsoring a bill for more than an hour and he said only that he would “think about it.”
After I asked our State Epidemiologist Erica Pan if she believed in data transparency of public health data and she stopped answering my emails at that point.
Nobody will let any of us in to inspect the records either.
It’s just not allowed for anyone to see the data and learn the truth.
We are all supposed to trust them.
Sometimes I get lucky and get leaked data in my mailbox. What little data I was able to get from public health records showed that the COVID vaccines are killing people. The slope of deaths was supposed to go down after vaccination, not up.
The government of Israel found a similar result: No deaths under age 50 for people with no comorbidities
Think I’m wrong?
Simply post a link to your Substack or blog with your IFR calculations.
I really can’t wait to read the blogs from David Gorski, Susan Oliver, Dorit Reiss, Debunk the Funk, and others!
I predict they will all be “hand-waving” arguments that dismiss the data. They never actually have any evidence behind their arguments.
Or they’ll ignore this because it’s simply too hard to attack.
There will be no math in their rebuttals, just a lot of hot air.
Want to fact check me?
If you are a fact checker who works for mainstream media, this is the story of the decade on how everything they had us do was unnecessary and made things worse.
Just give me a call on my cell phone. It’s easy to find my number. We can have a nice discussion that both of us will record.
Thanks to the Amish, we now know that the entire pandemic response was a disaster. Collectively, these measures increased COVID deaths by 23X.
It was never necessary to turn the country upside down to respond to the COVID virus.
Not only were all the mitigations (vaccines, masks, shutdowns, social distancing, hospital treatment programs with remdesivir, school closures, school masking, forced vaccinations, …) unnecessary, but the mitigation measures recommended by the CDC made deaths from 23X higher than they ever needed to be.
The story of the Amish is very compelling evidence that nobody has been able to “explain away” with evidence backing their “explanations.”
The fact checkers will avoid fact checking this article. If they do fact check it, they won’t call me on the phone. I’m happy to work with them on this if they call me on the phone and talk to me. I’ll provide all my sources. Any fact checker can easily get my number. But they won’t do that because they are afraid of the facts.
We’d have been way better off if we just used early treatments when people got sick as the only countermeasure.
Maybe next time the CDC should listen seriously to those people who disagree with them before making their next healthcare recommendation? Their “public input” sessions are a joke, they never respond to my emails asking them to explain any of the data, and they block my emails.
Will the CDC ever admit they screwed up and should have just recommended early treatment with ivermectin, vitamin D, nasal irrigation with povidone iodine, etc? Probably not in my lifetime, unless RFK Jr. gets elected President.
So I thought it was important for you to know what a disaster the public health recommendations were because the mainstream media, medical community, and your elected representatives in Congress are simply never going to let you know.