The West’s proxy war in Ukraine is heading towards failure, causing the neocons involved to look for ways to retreat. Initially, they believed that the harshest sanctions on Russia would lead to its collapse, but instead, Russia has shown strategic adaptability and maintained a strong military presence. This has left the Western political elites worried about the dangerous period Europe is facing, as it could be the most dangerous since WWII.
The real issue at hand is NATO’s military involvement in Ukraine and the difficult decision it faces. If NATO escalates the situation, it could lead to direct confrontation with Russia, which is something they want to avoid. On the other hand, if they don’t escalate, their proxy in Ukraine will collapse, leaving Russia victorious. This would be a devastating blow to NATO’s reputation and also impact the arms industry’s profits. Therefore, the question becomes how NATO and the EU can deal with the potential defeat and find someone to blame for the outcome.
Blaming states like Hungary, China, and India for undermining the efforts against Russia will be a common narrative. Ukraine itself will also be blamed for not following Western advice and failing to tackle corruption. The focus will then shift to China, as NATO tries to expand its influence in Asia. The “China is the real threat” narrative is already being pushed in Western media.
If Western powers fail to shift the blame or find a new enemy, there is the possibility of further escalation. This could lead to direct confrontation between NATO and Russia, which would be catastrophic. However, the neocon think-tank advisers in Washington and Brussels may consider this option, even though it goes against rational assessment and negotiation.
The process of disassociating from Ukraine has already begun, as seen in the recent NATO summit and the disagreements among Western partners over providing Ukraine with more deadly weapons. Whatever happens next will require careful spin to either pull out or escalate the situation. The blame game is already being played out in the media, with Ukrainian officials blaming the West for the failure of their counteroffensive.
Overall, the situation in Ukraine is a tragic and romantic folly, with Ukraine desperate to join NATO and the EU, while they remain indifferent. NATO, in particular, is concerned about surviving this affair and moving on. The Ukraine conflict could potentially destroy NATO, as it has proven to be a failed political institution posing as a military alliance. NATO would not be able to stand against any peer adversary, such as Russia or China. It seems that NATO has fallen under a spell and must find a way to break free from this disastrous situation.
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