According to a recent report by CNN, Iran and its allied armed groups in the region are treading carefully to prevent the situation in the Middle East, specifically in Gaza, from escalating into a full-scale conflict. Sources with knowledge of the matter stated that Iran is walking a fine line between pushing back against Israel’s military campaign in Gaza and avoiding a direct conflict.
US officials interviewed by CNN expressed concerns that Iran does not have full control over its allied groups, including Lebanon-based Hezbollah. This is worrisome because Hezbollah has been engaged in recurring border clashes with Israel in recent weeks. The officials fear that Hezbollah’s internal politics may force the group to escalate the situation, potentially leading to devastating consequences.
However, Iran is aware of the risks involved in allowing Hezbollah to launch a major attack on Israel, as it could trigger a significant pushback from both Israel and the US, Israel’s key ally. While Iran wants to be seen as doing something about the hostilities in Gaza, it is also wary of getting directly involved in a conflict that could spiral out of control.
CNN sources described Iran’s strategy as a coordinated approach, aimed at balancing the pushback against Israel while avoiding an all-out war. However, they also warned that this strategy could backfire and unintentionally lead to a situation spiraling out of control, even if neither party desires such an outcome.
In a separate report by Ynet, it was mentioned that Israel is actively procuring weaponry amid fears of a broader regional confrontation. The country has already spent around $1.5 billion to purchase arms from domestic and international sources, highlighting the seriousness with which Israel is approaching the situation.
These reports come after the Houthi government in Yemen, which has close ties to Iran, confirmed that it had launched drone and missile attacks on Israel in support of Palestine. Hezbollah also claimed to have launched strikes on the Israeli military, which resulted in a retaliatory response.
The US National Security Council spokesperson, John Kirby, stated that there were no signs of Hezbollah preparing a major offensive against Israel. The US has been actively warning Iran against escalating the conflict in recent weeks.
Iran’s foreign minister, Hossein Amir Abdollahian, emphasized that Iran is not seeking to spread the war but acknowledged that the region is at a boiling point and any moment it may explode. He also did not rule out the possibility of regional militant groups acting independently and attacking Israel.
The situation in the Middle East remains tense, with Iran and its allied groups carefully maneuvering to prevent a full-scale conflict while responding to Israel’s military campaign in Gaza. The risk of unintended escalation and the potential for devastating consequences loom large, highlighting the need for diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the situation and promote stability in the region.