In a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll, it was revealed that if an election were held today, former US President Donald Trump would defeat President Joe Biden by a 10% margin of the popular vote. This result marks the widest lead for Trump since both men declared their candidacy for the 2024 election.
The poll, published on Saturday, showed that 52% of respondents would choose Trump, while 42% would side with Biden. The remaining respondents were either undecided or would not vote. Comparatively, a similar poll conducted in February showed Trump leading Biden by only four points, at 48% to 44%.
Interestingly, this result contradicts several recent polls that have placed Trump and Biden in or near a statistical dead heat. An NBC News poll published on the same day as the Washington Post/ABC News poll showed the two candidates tied at 46%. A Fox News survey conducted the week prior had Trump ahead of Biden at 48% to 46%, while a Quinnipiac University poll gave Biden a narrow lead of 47% to 46%.
Before facing off against Biden for a second time, Trump will have to contend with an ever-expanding group of Republican challengers vying for the party’s nomination. However, all major polls consistently show Trump with a commanding lead over the rest of the pack. In fact, Biden himself recently told donors that he believes Trump “is destined to be the nominee again.”
According to the Post/ABC survey, Trump enjoys an almost 40-point lead over his nearest GOP rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, at 54% to 15%. No other Republican challenger managed to break into double digits in the poll.
Both Biden and Trump face significant hurdles in their pursuit of the White House. Trump will enter the election season next year burdened with over 90 felony charges in four separate cases. These charges stem from allegations of attempting to overturn the results of the 2020 election, mishandling classified documents, and improper reporting of “hush-money” payments to porn star Stormy Daniels. Trump maintains that the indictments against him are politically motivated and claims that Biden’s Justice Department is engaged in a “Stalinist” attempt to remove him from the 2024 race.
For Biden, a crucial concern will be convincing voters that he is fit for office. The latest poll revealed that three-quarters of respondents, irrespective of their political persuasion, believe that Biden is too old to serve a second term. The president has long faced criticism from Republicans regarding his apparent cognitive decline, and recent polls have only served to amplify concerns about his mental fitness.
A CBS News poll published last Sunday indicated that 34% of US voters believe that the 80-year-old president would complete a second term in office. However, an equal percentage of voters believe that Biden lacks the mental and cognitive health necessary for the job.
As the 2024 race continues to develop, it is clear that both Trump and Biden face unique challenges. Trump’s strong lead over Biden in the recent poll demonstrates his enduring popularity among a significant portion of the American population. Meanwhile, Biden must work to address concerns about his age and mental acuity if he hopes to secure a second term in office.