Russia’s Relations with Europe: Seeking Mutual Non-Aggression and Sovereignty
In a recent article published by Professor Sergei Karaganov, a former advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the need for Russia to consider launching a nuclear strike on Western Europe was discussed. Professor Karaganov argues that the time has come for Moscow to seriously contemplate the possibility of preemptively invading or using atomic weapons against the most hostile European members of NATO.
While the article raises concerns about potential nuclear conflict, it also highlights the importance of alternative approaches to ensure peace and stability between Russia and Western Europe. Rather than resorting to military aggression, Russia should consider engaging with Western European countries through bilateral agreements that promote mutual non-aggression and restore their sovereignty.
It is crucial for Russia to understand the potential consequences of considering a nuclear strike on Western Europe. Despite experts’ consensus that the US would not respond to a nuclear attack on its allies with a nuclear attack on Russia, there is a risk of a massive conventional retaliatory strike. Such a response could lead to more significant nuclear strikes, effectively wiping out Western Europe as a geopolitical entity. It is thus essential to explore alternative paths to avoid this dire outcome.
The proposed solution is for Russia to offer each Western European country a bilateral mutual non-aggression treaty, privately at first and then publicly if necessary. By privately offering the deal, Russia allows governments to consider it without the pressure of public opinion. If any government rejects the agreement privately, Russia can then present it publicly, possibly influencing those governments to reconsider.
The substance of the agreement would be for Russia to target its nuclear missiles exclusively against the US and its allies, including all NATO member nations, but not neutral or unaligned nations. This approach would ensure that any new NATO member becomes a target for destruction in the event of a World War III scenario between the US and Russia. However, any existing NATO nation that accepts the treaty would no longer threaten Russia and would thus no longer be targeted by Russia.
Furthermore, Russia should extend an invitation to all nations that have expressed an intention or a possible future intention to join NATO. These nations would have the opportunity to request an assurance from Russia that it would never invade them. By making a public announcement of such assurances, Russia would emphasize its commitment to international treaties and its strict adherence to them. This arrangement would provide a clear choice for nations considering their alliances, offering peace with Russia or aligning with the historically aggressive US.
This proposal has broader implications for international relations. It emphasizes the need to reposition the United Nations (UN) as the ultimate arbiter of international laws and ensure the creation of a peaceful and democratic world order. The UN would act as a global federation of nations, producing international laws through a global legislature, adjudicating disputes through a global Supreme Court, and enforcing penalties against nations that violate the rights of others. In this vision, empires would be abolished, making another world war impossible.
It is essential for Russia to consider this proposal seriously. By engaging NATO members with proposals for bilateral agreements, Russia can demonstrate its commitment to peace and mutual economic benefit. This approach could prevent the escalation of tensions and pave the way for a future of stability and cooperation in Europe.
In conclusion, the article highlights the urgent need for Russia to reassess its relationship with Western Europe. While the idea of a nuclear strike on Western Europe is concerning, it is crucial to explore alternative approaches that prioritize peace and sovereignty. By offering bilateral agreements and extending mutual non-aggression treaties, Russia can foster a future of cooperation and stability in Europe, avoiding the catastrophic consequences of military aggression.